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Highest temperature in London on September 2?

Top outcomes

22°C 36%
21°C 32%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

$16K Vol. Closes Sep 2, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$15.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$16K Vol.

22°C

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on 22°C Explain your No on 22°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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21°C

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on 21°C Explain your No on 21°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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20°C

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on 20°C Explain your No on 20°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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23°C

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on 23°C Explain your No on 23°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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19°C

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 19°C Explain your No on 19°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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24°C

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 24°C Explain your No on 24°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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18°C

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 18°C Explain your No on 18°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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17°C or below

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 17°C or below Explain your No on 17°C or below (optional)

0 / 2,000

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25°C

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 25°C Explain your No on 25°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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26°C

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 26°C Explain your No on 26°C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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27°C or higher

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 27°C or higher Explain your No on 27°C or higher (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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