Forecasts closed Polymarket

Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 22?

Top outcomes

29°C 44%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
31°C 8%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

$28K Vol. Closes Jul 22, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$28.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$28K Vol.

29°C

44% market probability

44%
Yes 44% +56 / −44 No 55% +45 / −55

30°C

26% market probability

26%
Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

28°C

24% market probability

24%
Yes 24% +76 / −24 No 76% +24 / −76

31°C

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

27°C

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

32°C

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

33°C

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

26°C

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

34°C or higher

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

25°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

24°C or below

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts were placed before this market closed.