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Highest temperature in Denver on July 25?
Top outcomes
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
34%
96-97°F
13%
102-103°F
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$13K Vol.
Closes Jul 25, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$13.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$13K Vol.
98-99°F
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 54%
+46 / −54
100-101°F
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on 100-101°F
Explain your No on 100-101°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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96-97°F
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on 96-97°F
Explain your No on 96-97°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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102-103°F
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on 102-103°F
Explain your No on 102-103°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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94-95°F
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 94-95°F
Explain your No on 94-95°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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92-93°F
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 92-93°F
Explain your No on 92-93°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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90-91°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 90-91°F
Explain your No on 90-91°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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89°F or below
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 89°F or below
Explain your No on 89°F or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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106-107°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 106-107°F
Explain your No on 106-107°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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104-105°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 104-105°F
Explain your No on 104-105°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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108°F or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 108°F or higher
Explain your No on 108°F or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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