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Highest temperature in Chicago on July 25?
Top outcomes
82-83°F
36%
80-81°F
27%
84-85°F
22%
79°F or below
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$16K Vol.
Closes Jul 25, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$15.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$16K Vol.
82-83°F
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
80-81°F
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
Explain your Yes on 80-81°F
Explain your No on 80-81°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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84-85°F
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on 84-85°F
Explain your No on 84-85°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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79°F or below
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on 79°F or below
Explain your No on 79°F or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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86-87°F
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on 86-87°F
Explain your No on 86-87°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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88-89°F
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 88-89°F
Explain your No on 88-89°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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90-91°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 90-91°F
Explain your No on 90-91°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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92-93°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 92-93°F
Explain your No on 92-93°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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94-95°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 94-95°F
Explain your No on 94-95°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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96-97°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 96-97°F
Explain your No on 96-97°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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98°F or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 98°F or higher
Explain your No on 98°F or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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