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Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner
Top outcomes
Monique Taylor
65%
Other
50%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
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$35K Vol.
Closes Sep 3, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$34.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$35K Vol.
Monique Taylor
65% market probability
65%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 65%
+35 / −65
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 35%
+65 / −35
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person A
Explain your No on Person A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person B
Explain your No on Person B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person C
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person H
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person I
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person J
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person K
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person L
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person M
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person N
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person O
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person P
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person R
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person T
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jeff Beattie
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on Jeff Beattie
Explain your No on Jeff Beattie
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Heino Doessing
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Heino Doessing
Explain your No on Heino Doessing
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Heather Curnew
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Heather Curnew
Explain your No on Heather Curnew
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pascale Marchand
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pascale Marchand
Explain your No on Pascale Marchand
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Wieslawa Derlatka
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Wieslawa Derlatka
Explain your No on Wieslawa Derlatka
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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