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Crypto
Polymarket
Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$10M
46%
$5M
43%
$25M
12%
$100M
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$359K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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$358.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$359K Vol.
$10M
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 54%
+46 / −54
$5M
43% market probability
43%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
Explain your Yes on $5M
Explain your No on $5M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$25M
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on $25M
Explain your No on $25M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$100M
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$50M
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on $50M
Explain your No on $50M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$300M
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$500M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$800M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$1B
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$2B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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