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Polymarket
Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$5M
44%
$10M
38%
$25M
24%
$50M
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$323K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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$323.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$323K Vol.
$5M
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
$10M
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on $10M
Explain your No on $10M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$25M
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on $25M
Explain your No on $25M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$50M
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on $50M
Explain your No on $50M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1B
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$300M
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$100M
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$800M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$500M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$2B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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