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Polymarket
Ethereum above ___ on September 5?
Top outcomes
1,900
99%
2,100
99%
2,200
98%
2,000
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$20K Vol.
Closes Sep 5, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$19.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$20K Vol.
1,900
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
2,100
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 2,100
Explain your No on 2,100
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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2,200
98% market probability
98%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 98%
+2 / −98
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 2%
+98 / −2
Explain your Yes on 2,200
Explain your No on 2,200
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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2,000
93% market probability
93%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 93%
+7 / −93
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 7%
+93 / −7
Explain your Yes on 2,000
Explain your No on 2,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,300
92% market probability
92%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 92%
+8 / −92
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 7%
+93 / −7
Explain your Yes on 2,300
Explain your No on 2,300
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,400
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on 2,400
Explain your No on 2,400
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,500
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on 2,500
Explain your No on 2,500
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,600
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on 2,600
Explain your No on 2,600
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,800
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on 2,800
Explain your No on 2,800
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,700
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on 2,700
Explain your No on 2,700
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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2,900
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 2,900
Explain your No on 2,900
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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