Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Ethereum above ___ on September 4?

Top outcomes

2,100 99%
2,200 97%
2,300 95%
2,000 80%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$28K Vol. Closes Sep 4, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$27.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$28K Vol.

2,100

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 2,100 Explain your No on 2,100 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,200

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on 2,200 Explain your No on 2,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,300

95% market probability

95%

Explain your Yes on 2,300 Explain your No on 2,300 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,000

80% market probability

80%

Explain your Yes on 2,000 Explain your No on 2,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,400

65% market probability

65%

Explain your Yes on 2,400 Explain your No on 2,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,500

38% market probability

38%

Explain your Yes on 2,500 Explain your No on 2,500 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,600

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on 2,600 Explain your No on 2,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,700

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 2,700 Explain your No on 2,700 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,800

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 2,800 Explain your No on 2,800 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,900

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 2,900 Explain your No on 2,900 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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3,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 3,000 Explain your No on 3,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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