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Polymarket
Ethereum above ___ on September 3?
Top outcomes
2,000
99%
2,100
99%
2,200
98%
2,300
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$38K Vol.
Closes Sep 3, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$37.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$38K Vol.
2,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
2,100
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 2,100
Explain your No on 2,100
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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2,200
98% market probability
98%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 98%
+2 / −98
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 2%
+98 / −2
Explain your Yes on 2,200
Explain your No on 2,200
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,300
96% market probability
96%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 96%
+4 / −96
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 4%
+96 / −4
Explain your Yes on 2,300
Explain your No on 2,300
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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2,400
74% market probability
74%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 74%
+26 / −74
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 26%
+74 / −26
Explain your Yes on 2,400
Explain your No on 2,400
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,500
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on 2,500
Explain your No on 2,500
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,600
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on 2,600
Explain your No on 2,600
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,900
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 2,900
Explain your No on 2,900
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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2,800
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 2,800
Explain your No on 2,800
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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2,700
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 2,700
Explain your No on 2,700
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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3,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 3,000
Explain your No on 3,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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