Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Open Polymarket

Bitcoin price on September 4?

Top outcomes

76,000-78,000 30%
78,000-80,000 28%
74,000-76,000 16%
80,000-82,000 14%

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

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$28K Vol. Closes Sep 4, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$28.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$28K Vol.

76,000-78,000

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on 76,000-78,000 Explain your No on 76,000-78,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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78,000-80,000

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on 78,000-80,000 Explain your No on 78,000-80,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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74,000-76,000

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on 74,000-76,000 Explain your No on 74,000-76,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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80,000-82,000

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on 80,000-82,000 Explain your No on 80,000-82,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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72,000-74,000

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on 72,000-74,000 Explain your No on 72,000-74,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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82,000-84,000

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 82,000-84,000 Explain your No on 82,000-84,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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84,000-86,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 84,000-86,000 Explain your No on 84,000-86,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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>88,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on >88,000 Explain your No on >88,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<70,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on <70,000 Explain your No on <70,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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86,000-88,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 86,000-88,000 Explain your No on 86,000-88,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

70,000-72,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 70,000-72,000 Explain your No on 70,000-72,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

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