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Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on September 6?
Top outcomes
68,000
99%
70,000
98%
72,000
97%
74,000
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$37K Vol.
Closes Sep 6, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$37.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$37K Vol.
68,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
70,000
98% market probability
98%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 98%
+2 / −98
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 2%
+98 / −2
Explain your Yes on 70,000
Explain your No on 70,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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72,000
97% market probability
97%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 97%
+3 / −97
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 3%
+97 / −3
Explain your Yes on 72,000
Explain your No on 72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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74,000
91% market probability
91%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 91%
+9 / −91
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 9%
+91 / −9
Explain your Yes on 74,000
Explain your No on 74,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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76,000
74% market probability
74%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 74%
+26 / −74
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 26%
+74 / −26
Explain your Yes on 76,000
Explain your No on 76,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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78,000
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on 78,000
Explain your No on 78,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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80,000
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on 80,000
Explain your No on 80,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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82,000
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on 82,000
Explain your No on 82,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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84,000
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on 84,000
Explain your No on 84,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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86,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 86,000
Explain your No on 86,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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88,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 88,000
Explain your No on 88,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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