Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Open Crypto Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on September 4?

Top outcomes

68,000 99%
70,000 99%
72,000 97%
74,000 93%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$182K Vol. Closes Sep 4, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$182.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$182K Vol.

68,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 68,000 Explain your No on 68,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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70,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 70,000 Explain your No on 70,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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72,000

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on 72,000 Explain your No on 72,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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74,000

93% market probability

93%

Explain your Yes on 74,000 Explain your No on 74,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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76,000

78% market probability

78%

Explain your Yes on 76,000 Explain your No on 76,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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78,000

47% market probability

47%

Explain your Yes on 78,000 Explain your No on 78,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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80,000

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on 80,000 Explain your No on 80,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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82,000

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 82,000 Explain your No on 82,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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84,000

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 84,000 Explain your No on 84,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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86,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 86,000 Explain your No on 86,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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88,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 88,000 Explain your No on 88,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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