Open
Crypto
Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on September 3?
Top outcomes
70,000
100%
72,000
99%
74,000
96%
76,000
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$189K Vol.
Closes Sep 3, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$189.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$189K Vol.
70,000
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
72,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 72,000
Explain your No on 72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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74,000
96% market probability
96%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 96%
+4 / −96
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 4%
+96 / −4
Explain your Yes on 74,000
Explain your No on 74,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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76,000
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 17%
+83 / −17
Explain your Yes on 76,000
Explain your No on 76,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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78,000
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
Explain your Yes on 78,000
Explain your No on 78,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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80,000
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on 80,000
Explain your No on 80,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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82,000
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on 82,000
Explain your No on 82,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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84,000
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 84,000
Explain your No on 84,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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88,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 88,000
Explain your No on 88,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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86,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 86,000
Explain your No on 86,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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90,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 90,000
Explain your No on 90,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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