Open Economy Polymarket

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Top outcomes

No change 92%
25 bps increase 7%
50+ bps increase 1%
50+ bps decrease 0%

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

$37K Vol. Closes Jul 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$36.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$37K Vol.

No change

92% market probability

92%

Explain your Yes on No change Explain your No on No change (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

25 bps increase

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on 25 bps increase Explain your No on 25 bps increase (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

50+ bps increase

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 50+ bps increase Explain your No on 50+ bps increase (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

50+ bps decrease

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 50+ bps decrease Explain your No on 50+ bps decrease (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

25 bps decrease

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 25 bps decrease Explain your No on 25 bps decrease (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.