Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Which party will win the House in 2026? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Which party will win the House in 2026? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Open Polymarket

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

Top outcomes

Harry Kane 93%
Lamine Yamal 78%
Kylian Mbappé 72%
Rodri 36%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No." If more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

View on Polymarket
$42K Vol. Closes Oct 26, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$41.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$42K Vol.

Harry Kane

93% market probability

93%

Explain your Yes on Harry Kane Explain your No on Harry Kane (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Lamine Yamal

78% market probability

78%

Explain your Yes on Lamine Yamal Explain your No on Lamine Yamal (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Kylian Mbappé

72% market probability

72%

Explain your Yes on Kylian Mbappé Explain your No on Kylian Mbappé (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Rodri

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on Rodri Explain your No on Rodri (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Explain your No on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Ousmane Dembélé

15% market probability

15%

Explain your Yes on Ousmane Dembélé Explain your No on Ousmane Dembélé (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Lionel Messi

11% market probability

11%

Explain your Yes on Lionel Messi Explain your No on Lionel Messi (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Raphinha

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Raphinha Explain your No on Raphinha (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Vitinha

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Vitinha Explain your No on Vitinha (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Jude Bellingham

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on Jude Bellingham Explain your No on Jude Bellingham (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Pau Cubarsi

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Pau Cubarsi Explain your No on Pau Cubarsi (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Bukayo Saka

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Bukayo Saka Explain your No on Bukayo Saka (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Bruno Fernandes

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Bruno Fernandes Explain your No on Bruno Fernandes (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Declan Rice

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Declan Rice Explain your No on Declan Rice (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Luis Diaz

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Luis Diaz Explain your No on Luis Diaz (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Enzo Fernandez

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Enzo Fernandez Explain your No on Enzo Fernandez (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Desire Doue

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Desire Doue Explain your No on Desire Doue (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Fabian Ruiz

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Fabian Ruiz Explain your No on Fabian Ruiz (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Lautaro Martinez

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Lautaro Martinez Explain your No on Lautaro Martinez (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Michael Olise

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Michael Olise Explain your No on Michael Olise (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Achraf Hakimi

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Achraf Hakimi Explain your No on Achraf Hakimi (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Mohamed Salah

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Mohamed Salah Explain your No on Mohamed Salah (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Pedri

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Pedri Explain your No on Pedri (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Vinícius Júnior

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Vinícius Júnior Explain your No on Vinícius Júnior (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Cole Palmer

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Cole Palmer Explain your No on Cole Palmer (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Julian Alvarez

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Julian Alvarez Explain your No on Julian Alvarez (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Cristiano Ronaldo

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Cristiano Ronaldo Explain your No on Cristiano Ronaldo (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Federico Valverde

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Federico Valverde Explain your No on Federico Valverde (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Dominik Szoboszlai

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Dominik Szoboszlai Explain your No on Dominik Szoboszlai (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Erling Haaland

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Erling Haaland Explain your No on Erling Haaland (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Rodrygo

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Rodrygo Explain your No on Rodrygo (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.