Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
September 30
7%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$182K Vol.
Polymarket
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
Audias Flores-Silva
100%
Yes
No
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
57%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$176K Vol.
Polymarket
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
September 30
15%
Yes
No
August 31
7%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$169K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
December 31
70%
Yes
No
September 30
14%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$169K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
No
September 30
3%
Yes
No
$166K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?
December 31
94%
Yes
No
September 30
68%
Yes
No
$166K Vol.
Polymarket
Another NATO article 4 by...?
December 31
31%
Yes
No
October 31
20%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$163K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$150K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
December 31
23%
Yes
No
September 30
4%
Yes
No
$149K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?
October 31
33%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$146K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
December 31
30%
Yes
No
October 31
25%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$140K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?
September 30
8%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$140K Vol.
Polymarket
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
September 30
2%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$134K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?
September 30
7%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$125K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?
September 30
32%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$121K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
December 31
44%
Yes
No
September 30
13%
Yes
No
$121K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
$120K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$115K Vol.
Polymarket
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$112K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?
September 30
15%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$111K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
September 30
32%
Yes
No
September 15
26%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$109K Vol.
Polymarket
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
September 30
43%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$102K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?
October 31
60%
Yes
No
September 30
23%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$101K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
September 30
3%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$98K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 49–72