Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
October 31
2%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$270K Vol.
Polymarket
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
December 31
22%
Yes
No
October 31
5%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$253K Vol.
Polymarket
US x China Military clash before 2027?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$219K Vol.
Polymarket
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
October 31
1%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$210K Vol.
Polymarket
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
October 31
1%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$201K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
December 31
21%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$194K Vol.
Polymarket
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
Audias Flores-Silva
100%
Yes
No
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
21%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$191K Vol.
Polymarket
Another NATO article 4 by...?
December 31
24%
Yes
No
October 31
5%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$186K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by...?
December 31
16%
Yes
No
September 30
0%
Yes
No
$171K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$169K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
No
September 30
0%
Yes
No
$166K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
October 2
100%
Yes
No
October 3
100%
Yes
No
+28 more outcomes
$162K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel military action against Syria by...?
November 30
15%
Yes
No
October 31
6%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$160K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
December 31
38%
Yes
No
September 30
0%
Yes
No
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?
October 31
2%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$153K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?
December 31
72%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$149K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
October 31
3%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$146K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$145K Vol.
Polymarket
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
October 31
6%
Yes
No
September 15
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$145K Vol.
Polymarket
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
October 31
18%
Yes
No
October 15
0%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$135K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$134K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
$129K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$129K Vol.
Polymarket
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$122K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 49–72