Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

September 30 7% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$182K Vol.
Polymarket

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Audias Flores-Silva 100% Yes No
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 57% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$176K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

September 30 15% Yes No
August 31 7% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$169K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

December 31 70% Yes No
September 30 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$169K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
September 30 3% Yes No
$166K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?

December 31 94% Yes No
September 30 68% Yes No
$166K Vol.
Polymarket

Another NATO article 4 by...?

December 31 31% Yes No
October 31 20% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$163K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$150K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?

December 31 23% Yes No
September 30 4% Yes No
$149K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?

October 31 33% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$146K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
October 31 25% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$134K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Stavky by...?

September 30 7% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No
$125K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

September 30 32% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$121K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?

December 31 44% Yes No
September 30 13% Yes No
$121K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No
$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$115K Vol.
Polymarket

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$112K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?

September 30 15% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$111K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

September 30 32% Yes No
September 15 26% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$109K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

September 30 43% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?

October 31 60% Yes No
September 30 23% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

September 30 3% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$98K Vol.
Polymarket