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Polymarket
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
Top outcomes
ChatGPT
78%
App B
50%
App C
50%
App D
50%
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
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$11K Vol.
Closes Jul 24, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$11.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$11K Vol.
ChatGPT
78% market probability
78%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 78%
+22 / −78
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 22%
+78 / −22
App B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on App B
Explain your No on App B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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App C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on App C
Explain your No on App C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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App D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on App D
Explain your No on App D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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App E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on App E
Explain your No on App E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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App F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on App F
Explain your No on App F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Netflix Game Controller
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Netflix Game Controller
Explain your No on Netflix Game Controller
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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TikTok Pro - Events
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on TikTok Pro - Events
Explain your No on TikTok Pro - Events
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Threads
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Threads
Explain your No on Threads
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Facebook
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Facebook
Explain your No on Facebook
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Google Gemini
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Google Gemini
Explain your No on Google Gemini
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Claude by Anthropic
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Claude by Anthropic
Explain your No on Claude by Anthropic
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Twitch: Live Streaming
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Twitch: Live Streaming
Explain your No on Twitch: Live Streaming
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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