Open Polymarket

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?

Top outcomes

ChatGPT 78%
App B 50%
App C 50%
App D 50%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

$11K Vol. Closes Jul 24, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$11.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$11K Vol.

ChatGPT

78% market probability

78%

Explain your Yes on ChatGPT Explain your No on ChatGPT (optional)

0 / 2,000

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App B

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on App B Explain your No on App B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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App C

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on App C Explain your No on App C (optional)

0 / 2,000

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App D

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on App D Explain your No on App D (optional)

0 / 2,000

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App E

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on App E Explain your No on App E (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

App F

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on App F Explain your No on App F (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on Other Explain your No on Other (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Netflix Game Controller

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on Netflix Game Controller Explain your No on Netflix Game Controller (optional)

0 / 2,000

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TikTok Pro - Events

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on TikTok Pro - Events Explain your No on TikTok Pro - Events (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Threads

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Threads Explain your No on Threads (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Facebook

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Facebook Explain your No on Facebook (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Google Gemini

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Google Gemini Explain your No on Google Gemini (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Claude by Anthropic

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Claude by Anthropic Explain your No on Claude by Anthropic (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Twitch: Live Streaming

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Twitch: Live Streaming Explain your No on Twitch: Live Streaming (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

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