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World Cup: USA Stage of Elimination

Top outcomes

Other 50%
Round of 16 30%
Round of 32 30%
Quarterfinals 19%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated. If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$31K Vol. Closes Jul 19, 2026

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$30.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$31K Vol.

Other

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Round of 16

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on Round of 16 Explain your No on Round of 16 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Round of 32

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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Quarterfinals

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on Quarterfinals Explain your No on Quarterfinals (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Semifinals

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Group Stage

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Final

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Champion

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Champion Explain your No on Champion (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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