Open
Polymarket
World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16
Top outcomes
France
78%
Spain
78%
England
73%
Portugal
70%
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Read more
Show less
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$371.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$371K Vol.
France
78% market probability
78%
Yes 78%
+22 / −78
No 21%
+79 / −21
Spain
78% market probability
78%
Yes 78%
+22 / −78
No 22%
+78 / −22
England
73% market probability
73%
Yes 73%
+27 / −73
No 27%
+73 / −27
Portugal
70% market probability
70%
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
No 30%
+70 / −30
Brazil
70% market probability
70%
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
No 31%
+69 / −31
Argentina
70% market probability
70%
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
No 31%
+69 / −31
Germany
68% market probability
68%
Yes 68%
+32 / −68
No 31%
+69 / −31
Belgium
62% market probability
62%
Yes 62%
+38 / −62
No 38%
+62 / −38
Switzerland
57% market probability
57%
Yes 57%
+43 / −57
No 43%
+57 / −43
Netherlands
55% market probability
55%
Yes 55%
+45 / −55
No 45%
+55 / −45
Norway
54% market probability
54%
Yes 54%
+46 / −54
No 46%
+54 / −46
Mexico
54% market probability
54%
Yes 54%
+46 / −54
No 46%
+54 / −46
Colombia
52% market probability
52%
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
No 48%
+52 / −48
USA
46% market probability
46%
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
No 53%
+47 / −53
Turkiye
46% market probability
46%
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
No 54%
+46 / −54
Morocco
43% market probability
43%
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
No 57%
+43 / −57
Canada
42% market probability
42%
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
No 57%
+43 / −57
Japan
41% market probability
41%
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
No 59%
+41 / −59
Ecuador
41% market probability
41%
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
No 59%
+41 / −59
Uruguay
40% market probability
40%
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
No 60%
+40 / −60
Croatia
40% market probability
40%
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
No 60%
+40 / −60
Senegal
32% market probability
32%
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
No 68%
+32 / −68
Ivory Coast
32% market probability
32%
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
No 68%
+32 / −68
Egypt
30% market probability
30%
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
No 70%
+30 / −70
South Korea
30% market probability
30%
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
No 70%
+30 / −70
Austria
28% market probability
28%
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
No 72%
+28 / −72
Czechia
28% market probability
28%
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
No 72%
+28 / −72
Paraguay
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Bosnia and Herzegovina
24% market probability
24%
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
No 76%
+24 / −76
Scotland
24% market probability
24%
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
No 76%
+24 / −76
Sweden
22% market probability
22%
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
No 78%
+22 / −78
Algeria
20% market probability
20%
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
No 80%
+20 / −80
Iran
20% market probability
20%
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
No 80%
+20 / −80
Australia
18% market probability
18%
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
No 82%
+18 / −82
Ghana
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
DR Congo
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
South Africa
11% market probability
11%
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
No 89%
+11 / −89
Tunisia
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Panama
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Saudi Arabia
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Uzbekistan
7% market probability
7%
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
No 93%
+7 / −93
New Zealand
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Cape Verde
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Qatar
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Iraq
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Jordan
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Haiti
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Curacao
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.
