Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Trump out as President by June 30? Which company has best AI model end of June? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? NFL Champion 2027 Iran leadership change by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Israel closes its airspace by...? Largest Company end of June? Epstein client list released by...? 2026 NBA Champion World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Trump out as President by June 30? Which company has best AI model end of June? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? NFL Champion 2027 Iran leadership change by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Israel closes its airspace by...? Largest Company end of June? Epstein client list released by...? 2026 NBA Champion World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Open Sports Polymarket

World Cup Winner

Top outcomes

Spain 17%
France 16%
Portugal 11%
England 10%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$2155.5M Vol. Closes Jul 20, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$2.2b Vol.

All outcomes

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$2155.5M Vol.

Spain

17% market probability

17%

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0 / 2,000

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France

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Portugal

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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England

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Brazil

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Argentina

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Germany

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Netherlands

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Norway

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Japan

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Belgium

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Colombia

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Morocco

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Switzerland

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Mexico

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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USA

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Turkiye

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Uruguay

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Croatia

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Ecuador

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Senegal

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Austria

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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South Korea

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Sweden

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ivory Coast

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Canada

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Scotland

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Iran

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Egypt

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ghana

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Algeria

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Czechia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Congo DR

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Paraguay

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Australia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Bosnia-Herzegovina

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Iraq

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Haiti

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Qatar

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Jordan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Panama

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Tunisia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Curaçao

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Cape Verde

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Uzbekistan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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New Zealand

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Saudi Arabia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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South Africa

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Peru

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Italy

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

EF @fedenappa · Verified record
Forecast Germany · Polymarket 6% · +94/−6

Break-even if exited now

Pending

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Matu @Matu · Verified record
Forecast Argentina · Polymarket 9% · +91/−9

-1 rep if exited now

Pending

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