Open
Politics
Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Top outcomes
Marco Rubio
16%
Gavin Newsom
15%
JD Vance
15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$625.8m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$625.8M Vol.
Marco Rubio
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
Gavin Newsom
15% market probability
15%
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
No 85%
+15 / −85
JD Vance
15% market probability
15%
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
No 85%
+15 / −85
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Kamala Harris
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Jon Ossoff
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Tucker Carlson
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Josh Shapiro
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Pete Buttigieg
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Andy Beshear
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Donald Trump
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ro Khanna
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ron DeSantis
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Thomas Massie
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Donald Trump Jr.
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
JB Pritzker
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jamie Dimon
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Elon Musk
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Greg Abbott
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Stephen Smith
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
James Talarico
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Wes Moore
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ivanka Trump
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Tulsi Gabbard
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Glenn Youngkin
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Michelle Obama
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Zohran Mamdani
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Vivek Ramaswamy
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Tim Walz
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Eric Trump
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Nikki Haley
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
LeBron James
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Pete Hegseth
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jalen Brunson
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Kim Kardashian
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Gretchen Whitmer
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Public forecast history
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