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Pop Culture
Polymarket
Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?
Top outcomes
IVE
100%
Itzy
100%
Aespa
100%
I-dle
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
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$125K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$125.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$125K Vol.
IVE
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Itzy
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Itzy
Explain your No on Itzy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aespa
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Aespa
Explain your No on Aespa
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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I-dle
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on I-dle
Explain your No on I-dle
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Illit
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Illit
Explain your No on Illit
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Blackpink
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Blackpink
Explain your No on Blackpink
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Babymonster
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Babymonster
Explain your No on Babymonster
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Le Sserafim
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Le Sserafim
Explain your No on Le Sserafim
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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NewJeans
53% market probability
53%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 53%
+47 / −53
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 47%
+53 / −47
Explain your Yes on NewJeans
Explain your No on NewJeans
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Twice
39% market probability
39%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 39%
+61 / −39
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 61%
+39 / −61
Explain your Yes on Twice
Explain your No on Twice
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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