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Which continent will win the World Cup?

Top outcomes

Europe 72%
South America 22%
Africa 3%
Asia 3%

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$3.5M Vol. Closed Dec 8, 2025

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$3.5m Vol.

All outcomes

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$3.5M Vol.

Europe

72% market probability

72%
Yes 72% +28 / −72 No 29% +71 / −29

South America

22% market probability

22%
Yes 22% +78 / −22 No 78% +22 / −78

Africa

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Asia

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

North America

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Oceania

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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