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Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place F1 Drivers' Champion María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Fed Decision in July? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? What price will Ethereum hit in July? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___?
Open Polymarket

Where will Aurelien Tchouameni transfer?

Top outcomes

Real Madrid 97%
Other 50%
Team A 50%
Team B 50%

This market will resolve to the next team Aurelien Tchouameni officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Aurelien Tchouameni does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If Aurelien Tchouameni joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Aurelien Tchouameni is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

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$36K Vol. Closes Sep 2, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$36.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$36K Vol.

Real Madrid

97% market probability

97%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team A

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team B

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team C

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team D

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team E

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team F

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team G

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team H

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team I

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team J

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Manchester City

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Arsenal

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Bayern Munich

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Paris Saint-Germain

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Liverpool

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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