Open Polymarket

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

Top outcomes

June 15–June 21 48%
June 22–June 28 30%
June 8–June 14 14%
Not released by June 28 6%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

$115K Vol. Closes Jun 28, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$115.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$115K Vol.

June 15–June 21

48% market probability

48%
Yes 48% +52 / −48 No 52% +48 / −52

June 22–June 28

30% market probability

30%
Yes 30% +70 / −30 No 70% +30 / −70

June 8–June 14

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

Not released by June 28

6% market probability

6%
Yes 6% +94 / −6 No 94% +6 / −94

June 1–June 7

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

May 18–May 24

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

May 25–May 31

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Prior to May 18

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Log in to place your forecast on this event.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.