Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Where will Trump and Putin meet next? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Where will Trump and Putin meet next? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion
Forecasts closed Polymarket

UT-02 Republican Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Blake Moore 98%
Other 50%
Candidate A 50%
Candidate B 50%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

View on Polymarket
$55K Vol. Closed Jun 10, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$55.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$55K Vol.

Blake Moore

98% market probability

98%
Yes 98% +2 / −98 No 2% +98 / −2

Other

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate A

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate B

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate C

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate D

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate E

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate F

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate G

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate H

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate I

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate J

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Karianne Lisonbee

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts were placed before this market closed.