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Polymarket
SpaceX IPO Date
Top outcomes
June 12
97%
June 15
1%
June 26
1%
June 17
1%
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$136K Vol.
Closes Jun 29, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$136.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$136K Vol.
June 12
97% market probability
97%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 97%
+3 / −97
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 3%
+97 / −3
June 15
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on June 15
Explain your No on June 15
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 26
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on June 26
Explain your No on June 26
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 17
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on June 17
Explain your No on June 17
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 18
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on June 18
Explain your No on June 18
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 22
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on June 22
Explain your No on June 22
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 24
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on June 24
Explain your No on June 24
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 30 or later
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on June 30 or later
Explain your No on June 30 or later
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 10
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 10
Explain your No on June 10
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 11
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 11
Explain your No on June 11
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 25
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 25
Explain your No on June 25
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 29
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 29
Explain your No on June 29
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 16
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 16
Explain your No on June 16
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 23
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 23
Explain your No on June 23
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 2
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 2
Explain your No on June 2
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 3
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 3
Explain your No on June 3
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 4
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 4
Explain your No on June 4
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 5
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 5
Explain your No on June 5
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 8
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 8
Explain your No on June 8
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 9
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 9
Explain your No on June 9
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 1 or earlier
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 1 or earlier
Explain your No on June 1 or earlier
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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