Forecasts closed Polymarket

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Top outcomes

Jorginho Mello 87%
Other 50%
Candidate A 50%
Candidate B 50%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

$87K Vol. Closed Jun 10, 2026

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$86.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$87K Vol.

Jorginho Mello

87% market probability

87%
Yes 87% +13 / −87 No 13% +87 / −13

Other

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate A

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate B

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate C

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate D

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate E

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate F

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate G

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate H

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate I

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate J

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

João Rodrigues

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Marcelo Brigadeiro

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Gelson Merisio

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Afrânio Boppré

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Décio Lima

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Marcos Vieira

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Adriano Silva

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.