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NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Top outcomes
Mitch Marner
54%
Taylor Hall
16%
Logan Stankoven
15%
Jordan Staal
10%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$67K Vol.
Closes Jul 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$67.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$67K Vol.
Mitch Marner
54% market probability
54%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 54%
+46 / −54
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 46%
+54 / −46
Taylor Hall
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Taylor Hall
Explain your No on Taylor Hall
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Logan Stankoven
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on Logan Stankoven
Explain your No on Logan Stankoven
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jordan Staal
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Jordan Staal
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jackson Blake
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Jackson Blake
Explain your No on Jackson Blake
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brett Howden
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Brett Howden
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nikolaj Ehlers
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Nikolaj Ehlers
Explain your No on Nikolaj Ehlers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Andrei Svechnikov
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Andrei Svechnikov
Explain your No on Andrei Svechnikov
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sebastian Aho
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sebastian Aho
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Seth Jarvis
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Seth Jarvis
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pavel Dorofeyev
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Pavel Dorofeyev
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tomas Hertl
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tomas Hertl
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jack Eichel
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jack Eichel
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shea Theodore
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Shea Theodore
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jaccob Slavin
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jaccob Slavin
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brayden McNabb
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Brayden McNabb
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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K'Andre Miller
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on K'Andre Miller
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rasmus Andersson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rasmus Andersson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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William Karlsson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on William Karlsson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shayne Gostisbehere
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Shayne Gostisbehere
Explain your No on Shayne Gostisbehere
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Frederik Andersen
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Frederik Andersen
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alex Tuch
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alex Tuch
Explain your No on Alex Tuch
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cale Makar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cale Makar
Explain your No on Cale Makar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dan Vladar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dan Vladar
Explain your No on Dan Vladar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mark Stone
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mark Stone
Explain your No on Mark Stone
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carter Hart
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carter Hart
Explain your No on Carter Hart
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nick Suzuki
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nick Suzuki
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anze Kopitar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Anze Kopitar
Explain your No on Anze Kopitar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Martin Necas
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Martin Necas
Explain your No on Martin Necas
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Noah Hanifin
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Noah Hanifin
Explain your No on Noah Hanifin
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Quinn Hughes
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Quinn Hughes
Explain your No on Quinn Hughes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cole Caufield
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cole Caufield
Explain your No on Cole Caufield
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Linus Ullmark
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Linus Ullmark
Explain your No on Linus Ullmark
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rasmus Dahlin
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rasmus Dahlin
Explain your No on Rasmus Dahlin
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sidney Crosby
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sidney Crosby
Explain your No on Sidney Crosby
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Clayton Keller
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Clayton Keller
Explain your No on Clayton Keller
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Colton Sissons
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Colton Sissons
Explain your No on Colton Sissons
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Connor McDavid
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Connor McDavid
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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David Pastrnak
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on David Pastrnak
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dylan Guenther
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dylan Guenther
Explain your No on Dylan Guenther
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ivan Barbashev
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ivan Barbashev
Explain your No on Ivan Barbashev
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jake Oettinger
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jake Oettinger
Explain your No on Jake Oettinger
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Leon Draisaitl
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Leon Draisaitl
Explain your No on Leon Draisaitl
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jalen Chatfield
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jalen Chatfield
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nikita Kucherov
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nikita Kucherov
Explain your No on Nikita Kucherov
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cutter Guanthier
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cutter Guanthier
Explain your No on Cutter Guanthier
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nathan MacKinnon
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nathan MacKinnon
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexander Nikishin
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexander Nikishin
Explain your No on Alexander Nikishin
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Andrei Vasilevskiy
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Andrei Vasilevskiy
Explain your No on Andrei Vasilevskiy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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