NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…?

Top outcomes

August 12, 2026 93%

August 9, 2026 88%

August 6, 2026 86%

August 3, 2026 79%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

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$30K Vol. Closed Jul 10, 2026

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$30.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$30K Vol.

August 12, 2026

93% market probability

93%

Yes 93% +7 / −93 No 7% +93 / −7

August 9, 2026

88% market probability

88%

Yes 88% +12 / −88 No 12% +88 / −12

August 6, 2026

86% market probability

86%

Yes 86% +14 / −86 No 15% +85 / −15

August 3, 2026

79% market probability

79%

Yes 79% +21 / −79 No 21% +79 / −21

July 30, 2026

60% market probability

60%

Yes 60% +40 / −60 No 40% +60 / −40

July 27, 2026

54% market probability

54%

Yes 54% +46 / −54 No 46% +54 / −46

July 24, 2026

12% market probability

12%

Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

July 13, 2026

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

July 20, 2026

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

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