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MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Top outcomes
William Lawrence
51%
Matt Maasdam
29%
Bridget Brink
22%
Josh Cowen
0%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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$56K Vol.
Closes Aug 4, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$55.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$56K Vol.
William Lawrence
51% market probability
51%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 51%
+49 / −51
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 49%
+51 / −49
Matt Maasdam
29% market probability
29%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 29%
+71 / −29
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 71%
+29 / −71
Explain your Yes on Matt Maasdam
Explain your No on Matt Maasdam
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bridget Brink
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on Bridget Brink
Explain your No on Bridget Brink
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0 / 2,000
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Josh Cowen
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Josh Cowen
Explain your No on Josh Cowen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elyon Badger
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Elyon Badger
Explain your No on Elyon Badger
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexandra Prieditis
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexandra Prieditis
Explain your No on Alexandra Prieditis
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Muhammad Salman Rais
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Muhammad Salman Rais
Explain your No on Muhammad Salman Rais
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0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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