Forecasts closed Polymarket

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

Top outcomes

Karen Bass 100%
Nithya Raman 0%
Other 0%
Rae Huang 0%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

$811K Vol. Closed Jun 2, 2026

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$811.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$811K Vol.

Karen Bass

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Nithya Raman

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Other

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Rae Huang

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Gina Viola

0% market probability

0%
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Adam Miller

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate A

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate B

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate C

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate D

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate E

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate F

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate G

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate H

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate I

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate J

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate K

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate L

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate M

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate N

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate O

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate P

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate Q

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate R

0% market probability

0%
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Candidate S

0% market probability

0%
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Rick Caruso

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Spencer Pratt

0% market probability

0%
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Asaad Alnajjar

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Austin Beutner

0% market probability

0%
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Lindsey Horvath

0% market probability

0%
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Monica Rodriguez

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

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