Open Science & Tech Polymarket

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

Top outcomes

3 90%
4 5%
5 1%
>5 1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

$55K Vol. Closes Jun 21, 2026

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$55.3k Vol.

All outcomes

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$55K Vol.

3

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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4

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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5

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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>5

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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0

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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1

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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2

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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