Forecasts closed Polymarket

Highest temperature in Madrid on June 10?

Top outcomes

31°C 65%
30°C 18%
32°C 18%
33°C 1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

$37K Vol. Closed Jun 10, 2026

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$36.9k Vol.

All outcomes

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$37K Vol.

31°C

65% market probability

65%
Yes 65% +35 / −65 No 35% +65 / −35

30°C

18% market probability

18%
Yes 18% +82 / −18 No 82% +18 / −82

32°C

18% market probability

18%
Yes 18% +82 / −18 No 82% +18 / −82

33°C

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

29°C

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

28°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

34°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

35°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

36°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

27°C or below

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

37°C or higher

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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