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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Anthropic IPO by __? Highest grossing movie in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? F1 Drivers' Champion California Governor Election Winner Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Next French Presidential Election Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Epstein client list released by...?
Open Crypto Polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on October 16?

Top outcomes

2,000 100%
2,100 100%
2,200 100%
2,300 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$392K Vol. Closes Oct 16, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$391.6k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$392K Vol.

2,000

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 2,000 Explain your No on 2,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

2,100

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 2,100 Explain your No on 2,100 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,200

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 2,200 Explain your No on 2,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,300

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 2,300 Explain your No on 2,300 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,400

94% market probability

94%

Explain your Yes on 2,400 Explain your No on 2,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,500

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on 2,500 Explain your No on 2,500 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,600

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 2,600 Explain your No on 2,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,700

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 2,700 Explain your No on 2,700 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,900

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 2,900 Explain your No on 2,900 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,800

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 2,800 Explain your No on 2,800 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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3,000

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 3,000 Explain your No on 3,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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