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Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
Top outcomes
“Hacks”
55%
“Widow’s Bay”
44%
“Only Murders in the Building”
2%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$16K Vol.
Closes Sep 14, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$15.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$16K Vol.
“Hacks”
55% market probability
55%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 55%
+45 / −55
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
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No 45%
+55 / −45
“Widow’s Bay”
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
Explain your Yes on “Widow’s Bay”
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0 / 2,000
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“Only Murders in the Building”
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on “Only Murders in the Building”
Explain your No on “Only Murders in the Building”
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
Explain your No on “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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“Abbott Elementary”
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on “Abbott Elementary”
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0 / 2,000
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“The Bear”
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on “The Bear”
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0 / 2,000
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“Shrinking”
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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“Nobody Wants This”
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on “Nobody Wants This”
Explain your No on “Nobody Wants This”
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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