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Polymarket
Catalunya Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Top outcomes
George Russell
36%
Kimi Antonelli
34%
Lando Norris
10%
Oscar Piastri
8%
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 13, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
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$29K Vol.
Closes Jun 20, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$28.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$29K Vol.
George Russell
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Kimi Antonelli
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on Kimi Antonelli
Explain your No on Kimi Antonelli
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lando Norris
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Lando Norris
Explain your No on Lando Norris
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oscar Piastri
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Oscar Piastri
Explain your No on Oscar Piastri
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Max Verstappen
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Max Verstappen
Explain your No on Max Verstappen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lewis Hamilton
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Lewis Hamilton
Explain your No on Lewis Hamilton
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Charles Leclerc
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Charles Leclerc
Explain your No on Charles Leclerc
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nico Hulkenberg
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nico Hulkenberg
Explain your No on Nico Hulkenberg
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Isack Hadjar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Isack Hadjar
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Liam Lawson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Liam Lawson
Explain your No on Liam Lawson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Esteban Ocon
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Esteban Ocon
Explain your No on Esteban Ocon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lance Stroll
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lance Stroll
Explain your No on Lance Stroll
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pierre Gasly
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pierre Gasly
Explain your No on Pierre Gasly
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sergio Perez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sergio Perez
Explain your No on Sergio Perez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Arvid Lindblad
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Arvid Lindblad
Explain your No on Arvid Lindblad
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oliver Bearman
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Oliver Bearman
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexander Albon
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexander Albon
Explain your No on Alexander Albon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fernando Alonso
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Fernando Alonso
Explain your No on Fernando Alonso
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Valtteri Bottas
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Valtteri Bottas
Explain your No on Valtteri Bottas
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Sainz Jr.
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carlos Sainz Jr.
Explain your No on Carlos Sainz Jr.
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Franco Colapinto
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Franco Colapinto
Explain your No on Franco Colapinto
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gabriel Bortoleto
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gabriel Bortoleto
Explain your No on Gabriel Bortoleto
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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