Forecasts closed Polymarket

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Top outcomes

Xavier Becerra 99%
Steve Hilton 0%
Tom Steyer 0%
Raji Rab 0%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

$862K Vol. Closed Jun 2, 2026

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$862.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$862K Vol.

Xavier Becerra

99% market probability

99%
Yes 99% +1 / −99 No 1% +99 / −1

Steve Hilton

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Tom Steyer

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Raji Rab

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Betty Yee

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Leo Zacky

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Matt Mahan

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Chad Bianco

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Nicki Minaj

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Derek Grasty

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Katie Porter

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Tony Thurmond

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Daniel Mercuri

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Elaine Culotti

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Thunder Parley

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Carolina Buhler

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Ramsey Robinson

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Antonio Villaraigosa

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

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