Putin out as President of Russia by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Epstein client list released by...? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Next Prime Minister of Romania? F1 Constructors' Champion

Putin out as President of Russia by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Epstein client list released by...? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Next Prime Minister of Romania? F1 Constructors' Champion

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Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft 12% Yes No

Google 10% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?

October 31, 2026 2% Yes No

October 15, 2026 0% Yes No

Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+ 92% Yes No

1200–1249 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 2027 36% Yes No

December 31, 2026 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google 77% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic 52% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Google 53% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta 57% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google 58% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic 68% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027? 66% Yes No

March 31, 2027 48% Yes No

Polymarket Science & Tech

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta 92% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture 22% Yes No

Ramsey Number R(5,5) 18% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

Polymarket Science & Tech

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

20 to 34 76% Yes No

35 to 49 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 31 94% Yes No

October 19 2% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft 32% Yes No

Anthropic 28% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 30 33% Yes No

October 31 15% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

-3.00 to -1.01 ft 41% Yes No

-1.00 to 0.99 ft 27% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Polymarket Science & Tech

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Other 50% Yes No

Company A 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 2027 92% Yes No

June 30, 2027 72% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft 84% Yes No

Below 4,189.3 ft 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Polymarket Science & Tech

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Polymarket Science & Tech