Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat 76% Yes No
PSD 13% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$211K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R) 70% Yes No
Independent 30% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$207K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate N 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$205K Vol.
Polymarket

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 64% Yes No
Elmano de Freitas 36% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$204K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 57% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$202K Vol.
Polymarket

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 90% Yes No
Tram Nguyen 10% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$200K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 34% Yes No
September 30 7% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$194K Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$193K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D) 55% Yes No
Jon Husted (R) 46% Yes No
$188K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$188K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

September 30 38% Yes No
September 11 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$181K Vol.
Polymarket

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Ken Sim 43% Yes No
Pete Fry 30% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$181K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$179K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D) 54% Yes No
Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 46% Yes No
$176K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$170K Vol.
Polymarket

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket