Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change 91% Yes No
25 bps increase 8% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$47K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$46K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.00 29% Yes No
$1.50-$2.00 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$46K Vol.
Polymarket

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change 90% Yes No
25 bps increase 10% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9% 53% Yes No
25-29.9% 39% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$44K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

3.0–3.4% 34% Yes No
2.5–2.9% 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$44K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?

<$1.176M 92% Yes No
$1.198M - $1.220M 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$43K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

2.0-2.4% 60% Yes No
≤1.9% 40% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$43K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

4.7-5.0% 26% Yes No
4.4-4.7% 22% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

≤1.9% 55% Yes No
2.0-2.4% 45% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many jobs added in August?

50k – 100k 30% Yes No
0 – 50k 25% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

No change 61% Yes No
25 bps increase 39% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

2.5–2.9% 41% Yes No
3.5-3.9% 23% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

Increase 99% Yes No
No Change 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$35K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$35K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change 54% Yes No
25 bps increase 45% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$34K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

2.7% to 2.9% 39% Yes No
2.4% to 2.6% 27% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$33K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

4.3-4.6% 46% Yes No
4.6-4.9% 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$33K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 World GDP Growth

3.1% 30% Yes No
3.0% 25% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

1.0-1.2% 38% Yes No
0.7-0.9% 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

0-1.0% 73% Yes No
1.0-2.0% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
$29K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

$2.20–$2.30 59% Yes No
$2.30–$2.40 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy