Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple 74% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$66K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

3.0-3.4% 40% Yes No
3.5-3.9% 34% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

1.0-1.2% 42% Yes No
1.3%+ 41% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$63K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

No Change 82% Yes No
25 bps increase 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$63K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

2.5–2.9% 34% Yes No
3.0–3.4% 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$62K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

≥3.0% 65% Yes No
2.5–3.0% 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$60K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

2.7% to 2.9% 46% Yes No
3.0%+ 39% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

No 2%
Yes 98%
$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

≤1.9% 96% Yes No
2.0-2.4% 3% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

1.0-2.0% 48% Yes No
0-1.0% 44% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$58K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

2.5-3.0% 34% Yes No
3.0-3.5% 32% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause 60% Yes No
Pause-Pause-Pause 9% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.6-2.7M 29% Yes No
2.7-2.8M 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 52% Yes No
Sergey Brin 39% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$48K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple 55% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$47K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

0.0%–0.8% 29% Yes No
0.8%–1.6% 20% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change 96% Yes No
25 bps hike 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$43K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.6–0.7% 64% Yes No
0.4–0.5% 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$43K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$42K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

No Change 52% Yes No
25 bps increase 48% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$41K Vol.
Polymarket Economy