Open Politics Polymarket

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Top outcomes

Benjamin Netanyahu 36%
Gadi Eizenkot 27%
Naftali Bennett 24%
Avigdor Lieberman 4%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$15.0M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$15.0m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$15.0M Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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Gadi Eizenkot

27% market probability

27%

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0 / 2,000

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Naftali Bennett

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Avigdor Lieberman

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Itamar Ben Gvir

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Yariv Levin

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Yair Lapid

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Gideon Sa’ar

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Yossi Cohen

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Amir Ohana

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Yair Golan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Benny Gantz

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Israel Katz

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Israel Katz Explain your No on Israel Katz (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Nir Barkat

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Yoaz Hendel

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ayelet Shaked

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Moshe Feiglin

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Gilad Erdan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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