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Politics
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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Top outcomes
Benjamin Netanyahu
36%
Gadi Eizenkot
27%
Naftali Bennett
24%
Avigdor Lieberman
4%
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$15.0M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$15.0m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$15.0M Vol.
Benjamin Netanyahu
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Gadi Eizenkot
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
Explain your Yes on Gadi Eizenkot
Explain your No on Gadi Eizenkot
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Naftali Bennett
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Naftali Bennett
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Avigdor Lieberman
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Avigdor Lieberman
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0 / 2,000
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Itamar Ben Gvir
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Itamar Ben Gvir
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0 / 2,000
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Yariv Levin
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Yariv Levin
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yair Lapid
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Yair Lapid
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0 / 2,000
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Gideon Sa’ar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gideon Sa’ar
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yossi Cohen
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Yossi Cohen
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0 / 2,000
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Amir Ohana
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Amir Ohana
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yair Golan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Yair Golan
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0 / 2,000
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Benny Gantz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Benny Gantz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Israel Katz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Israel Katz
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0 / 2,000
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Nir Barkat
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nir Barkat
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yoaz Hendel
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Yoaz Hendel
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0 / 2,000
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Ayelet Shaked
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ayelet Shaked
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0 / 2,000
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Moshe Feiglin
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Moshe Feiglin
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gilad Erdan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gilad Erdan
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0 / 2,000
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