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Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Top outcomes

Jared Kushner 99%
Steve Witkoff 99%
J.D. Vance 99%
Marco Rubio 4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$169K Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026

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$169.5k Vol.

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$169K Vol.

Jared Kushner

99% market probability

99%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Witkoff

99% market probability

99%

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0 / 2,000

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J.D. Vance

99% market probability

99%

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0 / 2,000

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Marco Rubio

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Trump

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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