Trump out as President before 2027? Largest Company end of July? Fed Decision in July? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? NBA: LeBron James Next Team Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Netanyahu out by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion US military action against Cuba by...? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Trump out as President before 2027? Largest Company end of July? Fed Decision in July? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? NBA: LeBron James Next Team Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Netanyahu out by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion US military action against Cuba by...? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Open Pop Culture Polymarket

What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?

Top outcomes

Fake News 88%
Drone 62%
Sleepy 54%
Melania 51%

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "White House Correspondents Dinner" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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$23K Vol. Closes Jul 24, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$23.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$23K Vol.

Fake News

88% market probability

88%

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0 / 2,000

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Drone

62% market probability

62%

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0 / 2,000

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Sleepy

54% market probability

54%

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0 / 2,000

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Melania

51% market probability

51%

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Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump

48% market probability

48%

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0 / 2,000

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Nasty

46% market probability

46%

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0 / 2,000

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Hell 5+ times

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Iran 3+ times

33% market probability

33%

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0 / 2,000

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Butler

32% market probability

32%

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0 / 2,000

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Nobel / Peace Prize

29% market probability

29%

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0 / 2,000

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Central Casting

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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Transgender

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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Biden 5+ times

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Shots fired / Shots will be fired

23% market probability

23%

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0 / 2,000

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Tough Cookie

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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Movie Star

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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Six Seven

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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-No Qualifying Event-

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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