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Polymarket
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Person G
50%
Person H
50%
Person I
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.
If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$94.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$95K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AA
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AB
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AC
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AD
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AE
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AF
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AG
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AH
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AI
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AJ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AK
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AL
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AM
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AN
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AO
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Russell Fry
40% market probability
40%
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
No 60%
+40 / −60
Ralph Norman
30% market probability
30%
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
No 70%
+30 / −70
Darline Graham Nordone
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
Pamela Evette
7% market probability
7%
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
No 93%
+7 / −93
Mark Lynch
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Nancy Mace
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Trey Gowdy
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Scott Bessent
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Paul Dans
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Joe Wilson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Sheri Biggs
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
André Bauer
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Alan Wilson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
William Timmons
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
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