Open
Polymarket
Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Person D
50%
Person E
50%
Person F
50%
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Home Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Home Secretary is appointed, or Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed as Home Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Home Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Read more
Show less
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$94.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$94K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Yvette Cooper
35% market probability
35%
Yes 35%
+65 / −35
No 65%
+35 / −65
No next Home Secretary in 2026
22% market probability
22%
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
No 78%
+22 / −78
Wes Streeting
18% market probability
18%
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
No 82%
+18 / −82
John Healey
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
Ed Miliband
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Pat McFadden
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Angela Rayner
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Dan Jarvis
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Stephen Kinnock
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
David Lammy
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jess Phillips
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Mike Tapp
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.
