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MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
Top outcomes
Cam Schlittler
58%
Dylan Cease
21%
Jacob deGrom
8%
Parker Messick
6%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$176K Vol.
Closes Nov 12, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$176.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$176K Vol.
Cam Schlittler
58% market probability
58%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 58%
+42 / −58
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 42%
+58 / −42
Dylan Cease
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
Explain your Yes on Dylan Cease
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jacob deGrom
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Jacob deGrom
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Parker Messick
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Parker Messick
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cole Ragans
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Cole Ragans
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tarik Skubal
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Tarik Skubal
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Joe Ryan
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Joe Ryan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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George Kirby
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on George Kirby
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Garrett Crochet
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Garrett Crochet
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gavin Williams
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Gavin Williams
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kevin Gausman
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kevin Gausman
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bryan Woo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bryan Woo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ranger Suarez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ranger Suarez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Max Fried
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Max Fried
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pablo Lopez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pablo Lopez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jose Soriano
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jose Soriano
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bryce Miller
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bryce Miller
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Rodón
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carlos Rodón
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Logan Gilbert
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Logan Gilbert
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nathan Eovaldi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nathan Eovaldi
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gerrit Cole
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gerrit Cole
Explain your No on Gerrit Cole
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hunter Brown
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Hunter Brown
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kyle Bradish
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kyle Bradish
Explain your No on Kyle Bradish
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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MacKenzie Gore
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on MacKenzie Gore
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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