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MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
Top outcomes
Cam Schlittler
70%
Dylan Cease
30%
Sonny Gray
1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$1.3M Vol.
Closes Nov 12, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.3m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1.3M Vol.
Cam Schlittler
70% market probability
70%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 30%
+70 / −30
Dylan Cease
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Dylan Cease
Explain your No on Dylan Cease
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sonny Gray
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sonny Gray
Explain your No on Sonny Gray
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Logan Gilbert
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Logan Gilbert
Explain your No on Logan Gilbert
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Drew Rasmussen
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Drew Rasmussen
Explain your No on Drew Rasmussen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jacob deGrom
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jacob deGrom
Explain your No on Jacob deGrom
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Joe Ryan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Joe Ryan
Explain your No on Joe Ryan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bryan Woo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bryan Woo
Explain your No on Bryan Woo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Max Fried
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Max Fried
Explain your No on Max Fried
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sean Burke
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sean Burke
Explain your No on Sean Burke
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cole Ragans
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cole Ragans
Explain your No on Cole Ragans
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gerrit Cole
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gerrit Cole
Explain your No on Gerrit Cole
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pablo Lopez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pablo Lopez
Explain your No on Pablo Lopez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bryce Miller
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bryce Miller
Explain your No on Bryce Miller
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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George Kirby
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on George Kirby
Explain your No on George Kirby
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hunter Brown
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Hunter Brown
Explain your No on Hunter Brown
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jose Soriano
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jose Soriano
Explain your No on Jose Soriano
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kyle Bradish
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kyle Bradish
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tarik Skubal
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tarik Skubal
Explain your No on Tarik Skubal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Rodón
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carlos Rodón
Explain your No on Carlos Rodón
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kevin Gausman
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kevin Gausman
Explain your No on Kevin Gausman
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ranger Suarez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ranger Suarez
Explain your No on Ranger Suarez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gavin Williams
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gavin Williams
Explain your No on Gavin Williams
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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MacKenzie Gore
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on MacKenzie Gore
Explain your No on MacKenzie Gore
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nathan Eovaldi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nathan Eovaldi
Explain your No on Nathan Eovaldi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Parker Messick
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Parker Messick
Explain your No on Parker Messick
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Garrett Crochet
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Garrett Crochet
Explain your No on Garrett Crochet
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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