Open Science & Tech Polymarket

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?

Top outcomes

>9 95%
9 2%
8 1%
7 0%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

$29K Vol. Closes Jun 15, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$28.7k Vol.

All outcomes

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$29K Vol.

>9

95% market probability

95%
Yes 95% +5 / −95 No 5% +95 / −5

9

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

8

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

7

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

6

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

4

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

5

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

≤3

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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