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Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 13?
Top outcomes
76-77°F
27%
74-75°F
24%
72-73°F
16%
78-79°F
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$21K Vol.
Closes Jun 13, 2026
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$20.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$21K Vol.
76-77°F
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
74-75°F
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on 74-75°F
Explain your No on 74-75°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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72-73°F
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on 72-73°F
Explain your No on 72-73°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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78-79°F
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on 78-79°F
Explain your No on 78-79°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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70-71°F
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on 70-71°F
Explain your No on 70-71°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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80-81°F
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on 80-81°F
Explain your No on 80-81°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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82-83°F
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on 82-83°F
Explain your No on 82-83°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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69°F or below
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on 69°F or below
Explain your No on 69°F or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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84-85°F
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 84-85°F
Explain your No on 84-85°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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86-87°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 86-87°F
Explain your No on 86-87°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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88°F or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 88°F or higher
Explain your No on 88°F or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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